The work
We hold overnight. Days, sometimes weeks. Anything opened and closed the same session is a different game, and it is not this one.
Stocks that lead do not climb in a straight line. They run, go quiet, and run again. The quiet part is the trade. We do not predict the run. We wait until the pause is obvious, then we take the next step only if the broader market agrees.
The breakout. A leader has already moved, over days or weeks, not in a single spike. Price pulls back into a rising 10- or 20-day average. The range tightens and volume dries up. The buy is the break of that range.
The episodic pivot. A catalyst gaps the stock and it trends for days on a burst of volume. The news is the episode. This is not a quiet flag.
The parabolic. A name goes nearly vertical, then fails. The trade is that failure, with the loss defined before the click.
The position can be a large slice of the account. The amount you can lose on it stays small, about one percent. Those are different numbers. Risk is the distance from your entry to your stop, times the shares.
Shares = risk dollars ÷ (entry − stop)
The stop is the low of the day. A tight stop means more shares for the same dollar risk. A wide stop means fewer. The first sale is only a piece of the position, and only after the open profit is at least five times that initial risk. What remains comes off if the daily bar is about to close under the 10-day average, while the market is still open.
The daily chart is where a setup is found. The weekly chart is a second look. The 1-minute and 5-minute charts are only for the entry, once the daily picture is already valid.
Two things go on the chart: the 10, 20, 50, and 200 simple averages, and volume. The watchlist is strength — the names that have led over about one month, three months, and six months. Most of them are early. You wait.
Check a broad index, the Nasdaq or SPY or QQQ. If its 10-day average is above the 20, the breakout is in season. If it is not, stand aside. Mark the pattern on old charts before you raise size.
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